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Jokić tops the index in Memphis as bucket-only nights get docked

Denver wins 123-118 in Memphis, but our index punishes scoring-only lines — and the reference rating disagrees loudly.

By Pred1xPublished How we produce our articles
ENESPT
Jokić tops the index in Memphis as bucket-only nights get docked
NBA

NBA

BASKETBALL
FedExForumMemphis
FINAL12/11THU2026
Memphis Grizzlies
Memphis Grizzlies
118:123
Denver Nuggets
Denver NuggetsWinner
Half 24-35

Pred1x grades

01Nikola JokićC · Denver Nuggets7.8▼ 0.5
27
PTS
11
REB
8
AST
02Jamal MurrayG · Denver Nuggets7.3▼ 1.5
30
PTS
4
REB
8
AST
03Cedric CowardGF · Memphis Grizzlies6.8▼ 0.5
15
PTS
11
REB
4
AST
04Cameron BoozerF · Memphis Grizzlies6.7▼ 0.3
13
PTS
11
REB
5
AST
05Cameron JohnsonF · Denver Nuggets6.5▼ 1.5
23
PTS
4
REB
3
AST
06Cam SpencerG · Memphis Grizzlies6.2▼ 0.9
15
PTS
3
REB
3
AST
07Christian BraunG · Denver Nuggets6.2▼ 0.7
12
PTS
5
REB
4
AST
08Ty JeromeGF · Memphis Grizzlies6.1▼ 1.4
22
PTS
2
REB
5
AST

Nikola Jokić tops the Pred1x index at 7.8 after 27 points, 11 rebounds and 8 assists in Denver's 123-118 win at FedExForum, where the Nuggets led 35-24 at halftime. Jamal Murray's game-high 30 points earn only 7.3 here; the reference rating flips the order — 8.8 to 8.3 — a 1.5-point endorsement of pure scoring we don't share.

Biggest grade gaps

Δ1.8Jaylen WellsF · Memphis Grizzlies5.4 vs 7.2
Δ1.8Spencer JonesF · Denver Nuggets4.3 vs 6.1
Δ1.5Jamal MurrayG · Denver Nuggets7.3 vs 8.8
Δ1.5Cameron JohnsonF · Denver Nuggets6.5 vs 8.0
Δ1.4Ty JeromeGF · Memphis Grizzlies6.1 vs 7.5
Reference rating shown for comparison only; the Pred1x Grade is our own index.

The pattern repeats below. Cameron Johnson's 23 points draw an 8.0 reference rating but just 6.5 on our index, because 4 rebounds and 3 assists barely move the needle. Jaylen Wells is the starkest case: 22 points for Memphis yield only 5.4 against 7.2, a volume-scoring line with 2 rebounds and 1 assist attached.

Cedric Coward (6.8) and Cameron Boozer (6.7) lead Memphis on our grades behind 11 rebounds apiece, with reference gaps of just 0.5 and 0.3 — among the closest we logged tonight. That's the divide: our index weighs the whole box score, so nights built purely on buckets don't bank points.

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