AI SPORTSANALYTICSMemphis led for 23:14 and out-rebounded Indiana 48-43 — and still lost by four.

23 minutes and 14 seconds in front. 13 offensive rebounds to 8. 28 assists to 22. Memphis led every ledger at FedExForum except the one that mattered — and Indiana flew home 103-107 winners.
Indiana set the pace early: 32 points in the opening quarter, a 32-24 lead after one, still 54-52 to the good at the break. Memphis shaded the third 30-26 and turned it to 82-80 heading into the fourth, though its biggest lead was just 8 against Indiana's 9. The visitors also owned the runs: 8 straight to Memphis's 7.
The closing minutes decided it. Pascal Siakam scored two for 96-101, Zach Edey's free throw pulled Memphis back within three at 98-101, and Siakam struck again for 98-103. Cameron Boozer's three made it 101-104, Ty Jerome's basket trimmed the deficit to one at 103-104 — and Aaron Nesmith ended it from distance: 103-107 Indiana.
Siakam was the difference. Indiana's forward shot 62 percent, delivered 20 points, 5 rebounds, 2 steals and a game-best 8.1 rating, with the two heaviest baskets of the finish on his résumé. Andrew Nembhard led the Pacers with 22; Nesmith closed on 16. Memphis answered with 23 apiece from Ty Jerome and Cedric Coward — Coward adding 9 rebounds and 4 steals, Jerome logging a plus-11 — while Zach Edey posted 11 points and 13 boards.
The rest of the box read Memphis's way: 48-43 on the glass, assists 28-22, time in front 23:14 to 18:49. Indiana owned the other column — 15 turnovers against 19, 10 steals against 8, 7 blocks against 5 — and took the fourth quarter 27-21.
Memphis won the glass. Indiana won the night.
BasketballMilwaukee led by nine at the break — one half later, Toronto had flipped it into a 14-point road win.
BasketballThe Pacers left Memphis 107-103 winners, yet our index's best Indiana grade is a modest 6.6.
BasketballHistory says Denver, recent form says it's closer than the record books admit when these two meet in Mexico City.