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VanVleet's 1.7 gap frames a win our index graded low across the board

Every graded player fell short of his reference rating, and Fred VanVleet's 1.7 gap leads the dissent in Phoenix's 102-99 win.

By Pred1xPublished How we produce our articles
ENESPT
VanVleet's 1.7 gap frames a win our index graded low across the board
NBA

NBA

BASKETBALL
Footprint Centre Phoenix
FINAL08/11SUN2026
Phoenix Suns
Phoenix SunsWinner
102:99
Houston Rockets
Houston Rockets
Half 35-23

Pred1x grades

01Miles BridgesF · Phoenix Suns7.1▼ 0.8
13
PTS
10
REB
7
AST
02Khaman MaluachC · Phoenix Suns6.5▼ 0.7
8
PTS
10
REB
0
AST
03Jabari Smith Jr.F · Houston Rockets6.4▼ 1.3
15
PTS
9
REB
2
AST
04Ryan DunnF · Phoenix Suns6.4▼ 1.2
8
PTS
5
REB
3
AST
05Kevin DurantF · Houston Rockets6.4▼ 1.0
21
PTS
10
REB
3
AST
06Alperen SengunC · Houston Rockets6.3▼ 0.5
15
PTS
6
REB
5
AST
07Amen ThompsonG · Houston Rockets6.1▼ 1.3
17
PTS
8
REB
0
AST
08Devin BookerG · Phoenix Suns6.0▼ 0.9
24
PTS
2
REB
3
AST

The index verdict on Phoenix 102-99 Houston: a war of attrition, not a showcase. Not a single grade crossed 7.2, and Miles Bridges' 7.1 — built on 13 points, 10 rebounds and 7 assists — was the ceiling. Devin Booker's 24 points led everyone and still graded just 6.0; two rebounds and three assists mean volume alone doesn't move our needle.

Biggest grade gaps

Δ1.7Fred VanVleetG · Houston Rockets5.9 vs 7.6
Δ1.4Collin GillespieG · Phoenix Suns5.8 vs 7.2
Δ1.4Luke KennardG · Phoenix Suns5.6 vs 7.0
Δ1.3Amen ThompsonG · Houston Rockets6.1 vs 7.4
Δ1.3Jabari Smith Jr.F · Houston Rockets6.4 vs 7.7
Reference rating shown for comparison only; the Pred1x Grade is our own index.

The distance from the reference is the story. All seventeen graded players were marked higher by the reference, none more generously than Fred VanVleet: 5.9 against 7.6. Sixteen points, 3 rebounds, 4 assists and a 0.195 defense component read as a quiet night on our scale — not a 7.6 performance. Amen Thompson (17 points, zero assists) and Jabari Smith Jr. carry 1.3 gaps of their own.

The components explain the pushback. Kevin Durant's 21 and 10 came with a 0.159 defense mark, hence 6.4, while Khaman Maluach's 10 rebounds in under 19 minutes earned a perfect rebounding component and the runner-up grade at 6.5. Where the reference rewards star volume, Pred1x pays for two-way production — and this night was thin on it.

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