Pred1xAI SPORTSANALYTICS
All articles
Basketball 1 min read

Wembanyama's 43 points earn a 7.3 — the reference's 9.3 flatters him

Our index cools the Wembanyama hype — and quietly upgrades LaMelo Ball after the Spurs' win.

By Pred1xPublished How we produce our articles
ENESPT
Wembanyama's 43 points earn a 7.3 — the reference's 9.3 flatters him
NBA

NBA

BASKETBALL
Frost Bank CenterSan Antonio
FINAL01/11SUN2026
San Antonio Spurs
San Antonio SpursWinner
121:111
Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota Timberwolves
Half 34-28

Pred1x grades

01Victor WembanyamaFC · San Antonio Spurs7.3▼ 2.0
43
PTS
7
REB
4
AST
02LaMelo BallG · Minnesota Timberwolves7.1▲ 1.1
10
PTS
8
REB
4
AST
03Ayo DosunmuG · Minnesota Timberwolves6.9▼ 1.3
27
PTS
9
REB
3
AST
04De'Aaron FoxG · San Antonio Spurs6.9▼ 1.4
22
PTS
8
REB
7
AST
05Dylan HarperG · San Antonio Spurs6.7▼ 1.2
25
PTS
7
REB
6
AST
06Jonathan KumingaF · Minnesota Timberwolves6.2▼ 1.0
19
PTS
6
REB
3
AST
07Devin VassellGF · San Antonio Spurs5.8▼ 0.8
9
PTS
5
REB
2
AST
08Joan BeringerC · Minnesota Timberwolves5.8▼ 1.0
12
PTS
6
REB
2
AST

Our index verdict cuts against the highlight reel: Victor Wembanyama tops the board at 7.3 — 43 points, 7 rebounds and 4 assists against Minnesota, yet a full 2.0 below the reference rating of 9.3. His scoring (0.6) and defense (0.678) components confirm the dominance, but the index refuses to hand out marks that big for one hot night.

Biggest grade gaps

Δ2.1Carter BryantF · San Antonio Spurs4.1 vs 6.2
Δ2.0Victor WembanyamaFC · San Antonio Spurs7.3 vs 9.3
Δ1.6Jaylen ClarkG · Minnesota Timberwolves5.3 vs 6.9
Δ1.6Julian ChampagnieG · San Antonio Spurs5.4 vs 7.0
Δ1.6Keldon JohnsonFG · San Antonio Spurs4.7 vs 6.3
Reference rating shown for comparison only; the Pred1x Grade is our own index.

The sharpest disagreement sits lower down. INDEX-STAT: Carter Bryant (F, San Antonio Spurs): Pred1x Grade 4.1 vs reference 6.2 (Δ+2.1). Six points, no rebounds, no assists in 11.1 minutes — the reference saw a role player's evening; we saw next to nothing.

We swing the other way on LaMelo Ball, 7.1 against a 6.0 reference: a perfect 1.0 rebounding component and 0.569 playmaking in just 20.1 minutes. De'Aaron Fox (6.9) and Dylan Harper (6.7) are capped by defensive components of 0.172 and 0.155, while Keldon Johnson's 4.7 is our coldest call on a winning home side.

Read next