Mbappé earns our 8.8, but the index shrugs at Bellingham and Brignoli

Pred1x saw a Madrid win carried by one man: Mbappé's 8.8 is the only grade above 7.4 on the pitch, ahead of Cucurella's 7.3, and it edges past the reference's 8.0. The index's real dissent sits in Madrid's midfield. Bellingham posts 6.9 against a reference 8.6 — a 1.7 haircut grounded in box-score production, not reputation — while Camavinga's 5.9 trails his 7.5 by 1.6.

That is our widest gap of the night. Conceding three at home, per-90 normalised, Brignoli pays for the result in our ledger while the reference rewards his saves. The pattern repeats across the home side: Koita tops AEK at 6.9 but sits 1.5 under his reference 8.4, Zini logs 4.8 against 7.2 in just 37 minutes, and Varga's 30-minute cameo grades 4.7 versus 6.8. For Madrid, Vinícius's 5.0 is the index's quietest verdict of the evening.