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Our index calls it: Vandevoordt 5.0, not 7.9 — Leipzig's widest grading gap

Manchester City edged RB Leipzig 2-3, but the grading story is in goal: our Pred1x Grade drops Maarten Vandevoordt 2.9 below the reference.

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Our index calls it: Vandevoordt 5.0, not 7.9 — Leipzig's widest grading gap
UEFA Champions League

UEFA Champions League

FOOTBALL
Red Bull ArenaLeipzig
FINAL04/11WED2026
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
2:3
Manchester City
Manchester CityWinner

Pred1x grades

01
Elliot AndersonM · Manchester City
7.6▼ 0.9
02
Erling HaalandF · Manchester City
7.5▼ 0.1
03
Abdukodir KhusanovD · Manchester City
6.9▼ 0.1
04
Antonio NusaF · RB Leipzig
6.8▼ 1.2
05
Nico O'ReillyD · Manchester City
6.7▲ 0.0
06
Iliman NdiayeM · Manchester City
6.7▼ 0.6
07
Matheus NunesD · Manchester City
6.6▼ 0.2
08
Marc GuéhiD · Manchester City
6.4▼ 0.3

The Pred1x Grade verdict is blunt: Maarten Vandevoordt does not belong near the top of this sheet. Our index hands the RB Leipzig keeper 5.0 — 2.9 points below the reference rating — and that distance is the loudest disagreement of the night. A 7.9 for a goalkeeper beaten three times at home is exactly the kind of occasion-inflation our position-weighted, per-90 normalized model is built to strip out.

RB Leipzig5.0M. Vandevoordt#26 · M. Vandevoordt · Pred1x 5.05.3R. Baku#17 · R. Baku · Pred1x 5.35.3W. Orbán#4 · W. Orbán · Pred1x 5.35.4C. Lukeba#23 · C. Lukeba · Pred1x 5.46.1D. Raum#22 · D. Raum · Pred1x 6.15.4N. El Aynaoui#21 · N. El Aynaoui · Pred1x 5.45.6C. Baumgartner#14 · C. Baumgartner · Pred1x 5.65.5E. Banzuzi#6 · E. Banzuzi · Pred1x 5.55.6B. Gruda#10 · B. Gruda · Pred1x 5.64.6Rômulo#40 · Rômulo · Pred1x 4.66.8A. Nusa#7 · A. Nusa · Pred1x 6.8

The rest of the sheet keeps its head. Elliot Anderson topped our grades at 7.6, with Erling Haaland close behind at 7.5 — both cooler than the reference's 8.5 and 7.6. The away winners carry the sheet, mirrored by one home bright spot: Antonio Nusa at 6.8, still 1.2 under his reference 8.0. Rômulo (4.6 vs 6.4) and Christopher Nkunku (5.1 vs 6.8) fall the same way. When the gaps lean toward the losing side this broadly, our index reads the reference as grading the occasion rather than the production — and Vandevoordt is where that gap peaks at 2.9.

Manchester City5.4G. Donnarumma#1 · G. Donnarumma · Pred1x 5.46.6M. Nunes#27 · M. Nunes · Pred1x 6.66.9A. Khusanov#45 · A. Khusanov · Pred1x 6.96.4M. Guéhi#6 · M. Guéhi · Pred1x 6.46.7N. O’Reilly#33 · N. O’Reilly · Pred1x 6.77.6E. Anderson#5 · E. Anderson · Pred1x 7.65.3P. Foden#47 · P. Foden · Pred1x 5.36.3E. Fernández#17 · E. Fernández · Pred1x 6.35.8R. Cherki#10 · R. Cherki · Pred1x 5.86.7I. Ndiaye#7 · I. Ndiaye · Pred1x 6.77.5E. Haaland#9 · E. Haaland · Pred1x 7.5

Pred1x Grade runs 0-10 from box-score production, position-weighted and per-90 normalized, with a 30-minute minimum. The reference rating is shown for comparison only.

Biggest grade gaps

Δ2.9Maarten VandevoordtG · RB Leipzig5.0 vs 7.9
Δ1.8RômuloF · RB Leipzig4.6 vs 6.4
Δ1.7Christopher NkunkuF · RB Leipzig5.1 vs 6.8
Δ1.4Enzo FernándezM · Manchester City6.3 vs 7.7
Δ1.3Ridle BakuD · RB Leipzig5.3 vs 6.6
Reference rating shown for comparison only; the Pred1x Grade is our own index.

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