AI SPORTSANALYTICSThe loser landed more aces, more first serves and more first-serve points — the winner took the only stat that paid: three breaks to two.
Twelve aces to eleven. Fifty-one first-serve points to forty-eight. A 69 percent first serve against 56. Liam Draxl won every serving column in Shanghai and still came out a set short.
The opener belonged to Draxl, 7-5. He converted both break points he earned, saved one of the two he faced, and did it despite six aces from Basilashvili in the set. The second set flipped: one break was enough for Basilashvili, who saved all three break points he faced and closed it 7-5 while Draxl added five aces and zero double faults to no avail.
The decider turned on one game. Basilashvili ground through four break points before finding the break that settled the set; he saved the only one he faced on his own serve and closed it 6-4. Across the match that left Basilashvili 3 for 8 on break points and Draxl 2 for 6 — the entire margin of a 1-2 scoreline.
Basilashvili's defense of his own serve carried the win: 4 of 6 break points saved overall, a perfect 3 for 3 in the second set and 1 for 1 in the third after the damage of the first. He took 73 service points to Draxl's 69 and 39 return points to 36, edging the games 18-16. Draxl gave away just one double fault across three sets to Basilashvili's three, yet paid for every loose return game.
More aces, more first serves in, more first-serve points won. None of it survived three conceded breaks. Basilashvili goes through; the scoreboard keeps its own arithmetic.
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